First, the bicycle network is translated to a conceptual Agent Based Model, defining the main components and their interactions of a bicycle network. This conceptual model is implemented in a case study for the city of Amsterdam, which is translated to a model in the GAMA simulation environment.
The simulation model is able to simulate the behavior of 60.000 cyclist agents in the Centrum district of Amsterdam, for a time period between 05:00 and 23:00. Environmental changes are simulated with external parameters on road safety class and occupation of network segments. A change in cyclist behavior in the simulation affects distribution of cyclists on the network.
The accuracy of these results relies heavily on assumed values derived from census data, as data on migration patterns within the city of Amsterdam is non-existent. Comparison of the simulation results with observation based data from the Fietstelweek does however show similarities in cyclist distribution. Agent Based Modeling can therefore be considered an additional tool to investigate the effects of infrastructural changes on a cyclist network, within the boundaries of the available information
on cyclist behavior.
Luc Oude Veldhuis
Thesis Report GIRS-2018-15
March 29, 2018
Bron: website WUR