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MSc Thesis AMS Institute - Using ABM to explore the effects of social factors on the proposed drought policies for Amsterdam

MADE Student Project

During the last summers Amsterdam experienced urban drought issues due increasing heatwaves. An urban drought occurs when the water supply cannot meet the water demand for an extended period, causing negative effects to the urban area. These urban droughts have negative effects on Amsterdam such as infrastructural damage to the wooden poles and heat stress for its civilians. Amsterdam wants to be more resilient against the droughts that will happen in the future due to global warming. The current policies regarding droughts, an escalation model proposed by the RIVM, focus mainly on the drink water supply and each phase in the model progressively restricts more water consumptions(e.g. washing the car, showering or gardening). These are actions that citizens are restricted in. History and experience has shown us that civilians rarely act exactly as the policy makers had intended. This is partly because the human behaviour considered by the policy makers is a proximation based on implicit assumptions (e.g. economic rationality) which can differ in reality. These assumptions are not tested and accounted for in policies. Therefore, this research is a first exploration into what influence social factors have on the drought policies proposed for Amsterdam through an agent based approach.

References can be found inside the document.

Author: Cihangir Tuna 

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Header afbeelding: Climate Resilient Cities | copyright IOOR

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